Stupefying New Year’s Stupidity

2015.01.04   prev     next

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AFTER the senseless slump of Apple’s stock in 2013, and the relentless, no-future-for-Apple harping by its naysayers, I would have to say that 2014 saw a pretty spectacular recovery on both of those metrics. But you wouldn’t know it from the look-ahead-to-2015 prognostications of TECHnalysis Research’s Bob O’Donnell, or TidBITS’s Josh Centers.

Introducing Hard-working, Easy-going Software Everyone Will Use

First, let’s sample O’Donnell on Tech.pinions “2015 Predictions”:

“If we think about where product design for computing devices has gone, we’ve moved to thin planes of glass, on which you can run all kinds of cool software. And that’s great, but I think they’ve reached the logical end. And we’re seeing this; there’s, all of a sudden, once you get a couple of screen sizes in that space, you’re kinda done. We’ve hit the end of the road. So I think there needs to be some radical changes, and I think people are gonna rediscover analog in a number of different ways. And we’re gonna get some character back, ’cause flat planes of glass, frankly, are boring; there’s no character to these devices. So I think we’re gonna see people start talking more about knobs, and sliders, and buttons, and things that can provide a more physical, tactile experience to their computing devices.”

“We’ve seen the rise of flip-phones again, because the other thing that’s gonna happen is we’re gonna see more dedicated-function devices, simpler purpose. I mean, one plane of glass that does everything sounds good on one level, but in reality, at a certain point it’s just kinda like, yeah, alright, now what? What’s next? What’s new? What’s different? And so I think it’s time for something very new and very different, and that’s gonna be about retro tech.”

Did O’Donnell, perhaps, forget to turn his iPad on? Is he playing with uncharged devices out of the box, and having more fun fondling the plethora of buttons on a “classic” BlackBerry than the sparsity of such controls on Apple’s devices? If that sounds harsh, then let’s reach for another explanation of his critique that makes sense: Maybe he’s expressing boredom with what he can report on, hardware-wise? “Yup, folks, it’s still a capacitive touchscreen. Just like last year.” Sorry, Bob, but Apple’s in this business to delight its users, not technology analysts. None of the millions of Monument Valley players said, “I’m bored, because it’s just a flat plane of glass.”

“We saw the Apple-IBM announcement last year, and that was the beginning of, I think, a major push that we’re gonna see in 2015 for mobile applications. But, I actually think that Android is gonna lead the way here. Despite a lot of the issues and a lot of the challenges, the influence and the amount of pure, physical share in terms of the devices and everything else that Android has, is gonna be important.

And, believe it or not, I think Windows is gonna become a bit of a threat to both Android and iOS in mobile devices, because Windows application developers that work in companies who’ve done Windows PC apps are gonna transfer those skills to do mobile apps, and so I think that’s gonna be important; that’s gonna also influence the market, and, frankly, gonna take some share away from both Apple and Android.

But ultimately I think we’re gonna see that Android becomes the leader for business applications on mobile devices.”

It’s hard to choose between whether O’Donnell really believes this stuff, or is being financially incentivized to pretend he does. Both scenarios seem so unlikely — yet logically one of them must be true. Sadly, we have to wait twelve months to see how truly absurd O’Donnell’s predictions are, and by that time I’m sure he’ll just be busy making new ones.

For now, it will have to suffice to note that in mobile-device use in the enterprise, iOS is currently huge, and Android and Windows are minuscule. O’Donnell is effectively saying that this situation is about to reverse massively, because (a) Windows PC developers who decide to learn a radically different, mobile-device platform, will (out of some misguided loyalty to Microsoft?) move to the Lumia/Surface desert and not to the fertile fields of iOS, then users will follow suit en masse, and (b) Android’s loudly touted majority market share will win the day in the enterprise — even though Android supposedly passed iPhone over three years ago and that hasn’t helped it in the enterprise yet.

Off-Center

Josh Centers paints Apple’s 2014 in a distinctly negative light, and warns Apple’s CEO Tim Cook what he must do to rectify the situation, on The Tech Night Owl LIVE With Gene Steinberg (January 3):

“2014 was a pretty rough year in general. And I think a lot of people became disillusioned with Apple this year for two reasons. The first is software quality; things like iOS 8 and Yosemite were apparently just rushed out the door, and a lot of complaints coming out of those two operating systems. And also, once again we’re seeing wildly inconsistent App Store policies. And it’ll be interesting, as the Apple Watch comes out in 2015, how that’s gonna affect development on that. Because developers don’t seem too stoked to do new stuff for Apple right now.”

“There’s a [custom iOS] keyboard I heard about, and it puts a calculator in the keyboard. I heard that Apple was making them pull that. Uh, they might have changed their mind. They seem to keep flip-flopping on what you can and cannot do with extensions. And it gives me the impression — I think it gives a lot of people the same impression — that there’s some kind of internal conflict at Apple. And it’s just sort-of spilling out into the public. I get the feeling that the folks in charge of the App Store don’t necessarily want the extensions, and things like this, that are offered, and this is sort-of a passive-aggressive way of trying to discourage those. So hopefully in 2015 Apple gets that under control; Apple gets a grip on that. Hopefully Tim Cook can step in and, you know, say ‘enough,’ and get everyone on the same page.”

“Some of these stories from developers, it’s almost sounding like someone from the App Store’d contact them and would say, someone high-up has said no. So that gives me the impression that there’s some sort of higher-up scuffle of some kind. So I’m not sure what’s going on. We may never know. But it’s very annoying, and I can’t help but feel that it’s going to hurt the Apple Watch, because at least in the first stage of development there’s not gonna be much you can do anyway, because it’s just gonna be kind-of a tether for the iPhone. But then on top of that, developers right now are skittish to do anything unique with iOS or Apple Watch because who knows if it gets to stay around or not? So Apple needs to come out and be very clear about what is and what is not allowed.

And there was someone from the App Store review team who told a developer that that was exactly the idea; they didn’t want to codify this stuff. Which leads me to think that it is some sort of conflict between departments, because if the App Store team decided they want to have guidelines for what you can and cannot do, they would have to involve other departments as well, like engineering and all that. So that gives me the impression that there’s someone who doesn’t want to codify things because they don’t wanna actually get the stuff they don’t want allowed by the letter of Apple law. So who knows. It’s very annoying. I would implore Tim Cook to fix this as soon as possible, because it’s really angering a lot of developers. I think it’s going to hurt Apple in the long run, if it’s not fixed.”

When Steve Jobs first announced the App Store, he flashed up a hodge-podge of several things that wouldn’t be allowed, e.g. “porn” and “illegal.” One of those things was “unforeseen” — what does that mean? Of course: it means that Apple can’t (and doesn’t want to try to) predict, much less precisely codify, every off-the-wall thing that any uber-geek developer might try to do with iOS, that Apple doesn’t think is in the best interest of its platform and its users. And a much more likely explanation (than Centers’s speculations of “internal conflict/scuffle”) of why Apple doesn’t want to try to explicitly codify every rule, is because if it does, then the “unforeseen” category becomes a path to developer lawsuits — as in, “You specifically said I could do such-and-such, and I spent X hours coding it; now you’re banning it. I want millions, and my lawyers want class-action billions. (But we’ll settle for less if you’d rather not be tied up in court for years!)”

What about Centers’s repeated claims that developers are annoyed, or un-stoked, or skittish, or angered, in a way that is going to hurt Apple in the long run? It’s just a total loss of perspective. Were the developers of Monument Valley “very annoyed” that they weren’t allowed to put a calculator in iOS’s notifications pull-down? Um, let me guess. I smell a similar motivation in Centers that I detected in O’Donnell: It’s more interesting to report on push-the-envelope system mods than it is to report on the latest games and productivity/creativity titles. Both of these guys, I suspect, want to report on new “technology” — not end-user apps.

I’m a lot less certain that Apple Watch is going to be a big hit than I am that enterprise Android will continue to flop. But still: let’s check back in a year and see if Cook has reined-in this dire problem, and if he hasn’t, how badly it has hurt the company. My prediction: neither.

 

Update 2015.05.08 — O’Donnell (Techpinions “Microsoft Build and HoloLens, Apple Watch Apps, Apple TV”) talking about Microsoft’s Build conference:

I have to say it was an impressive show. And what it really laid out — it’s funny; I was talking to some people — what was sort-of the #1 take-away — ’cause there was so much going on — and the #1 take-away is that Microsoft has got its mojo back. And they are back, and they are real, and they are somebody that needs to be considered and dealt with. And that, in and of itself, is interesting. They did a whole bunch of interesting things that individually you could argue aren’t that important, but collectively make a pretty strong statement.

Like Rob Enderle, O’Donnell seemingly decided back in the ’90s (when even Apple fans couldn’t conceive ever living to see Microsoft’s tech hegemony succumb) that it was best to go all-in with Microsoft, and just make a career out of enthusiastically assuming the success of everything they do. And he didn’t see how stupid that would one day make him look.

Perhaps he still doesn’t.

It really opens up your eyes to new kinds of possibilities. And that’s the important thing about HoloLens: It’s something that’s new. It’s not at all a replacement for anything. It does not replace anything whatsoever. It’s a completely new vision of computing, and a different kind of model. And that’s what’s so incredibly impressive about it, is that it just kind-of blows your mind as to how different and how unique it is.

Um.. are you sure it isn’t just Microsoft’s me-too answer to Google Glass, under development long before they knew that Google was going to cancel it?

 

Update 2015.05.29 — On the latest Tech.pinions Podcast, O’Donnell o­pines:

Another point you brought up that I’m curious about is, Microsoft with Cortana being announced on multiple platforms, and Google announcing more — all of a sudden, it’s kind of interesting but Apple’s becoming even more isolated into their own world. And I wonder, obviously WWDC’s coming up, and we’ll all be there, and it’ll be interesting to hear what they have to say, but it is kind-of interesting that Apple feels a little bit more isolated now.

Apple’s isolated, all alone, with no one to keep it company but.. the most valuable customer base in the computing industry.

 

Update 2015.07.24 — O’Donnell on the Tech.pinions Podcast again:

I think that we’re gonna see the smartphone market — period, regardless of vendor — start to slow down fairly dramatically. And there’s a lotta signs, if you look at other semiconductor vendors and some of the other component makers, that that could very well happen. And that will be interesting to see how it plays out — again, across the entire industry, no particular vendor being targeted on that one. But I do think we’re gonna start to see it slow down, and as Ben [Bajarin] has talked about, where in the past, when we look at where the growth is gonna be, it’s gonna be in the super-low-end phones.

Let’s keep a close eye on this important prediction over the next few years, shall we? And while we’re at it, take note of what he says later in the same show:

My concern [for Apple] is that at some point, with a company that big, it really does get hard— you know, the law of big numbers — I know Tim Cook says, oh, no, that doesn’t apply to us — I’m sorry, you know, at some point it’s gonna apply to everybody.

The “law of large numbers” predicts that over time, all companies will be driven to the mean. People have been citing this “law” against Apple for many years now, and the company just kept growing the whole time. But hey — maybe if Apple drives all its competitors out of business (or into minuscule share), then Apple will be the mean, and so the law could come true that way!

 

Update 2015.09.29 — More, from O’Donnell’s latest Tech.pinions:

For car makers, their willingness to just let Apple come in and drive some of the technology themselves is gonna be tough because more and more of the value in a car even if only a fraction of the actual costs are electronics, more of the perceived value, by consumers, is coming from electronics. And so, for car makers to be willing to give that up to obviously an enormous player seems a little challenging as well.

Bob’s being vague enough that it’s a little hard to pin down exactly what he means, but it sure smells like, “Apple succeeds when other companies let Apple succeed.”

 

Update 2015.10.02 — Bob O’Donnell again, on Techpinions, explaining how it’s OK that high-end (approximately iPhone-quality) Android phones like the Nexus aren’t selling worth a damn, because low-end, low-margin smartphones are the future:

One could argue that, in general, the phone market, as it evolves, is gonna move towards lower prices, so that Google will continue to be in the mainstream, and that the higher end will become arguably a smaller niche of a market when the overall ASP declines. So in that regard, you could argue Google is well-positioned long-term because they’re in the sweet spot that’s gonna be coming down the road, even in more developed markets potentially. The other thing that they’re doing that’s interesting — and I think we’re seeing Apple do this as well — is increasingly focus around the services built into the platform.

If by focusing on services O’Donnell means giving up on selling high-quality, higher-priced hardware, then it’s apparent he hasn’t been paying much attention to Apple lately.

 

Update 2015.11.21 — O’Donnell’s still at it (Techpinions):

[Smartphone app virtualization] completely, in theory, would upset the apple cart of business models of the app world. Now, I’ve argued for a while that, you know, once you’re at, whatever we are, 1.5 million, some stupid number of applications, it’s, you know, that many apps is actually more of a detriment than a benefit. There’s just way too many. We already know that the vast majority of apps are only used once or twice, and never used again. Our screens get cluttered with icons; it gets messy. Nobody cleans up their apps. It’s just, you know, it’s really not an ideal situation, and there’s a real need to kind-of, fundamentally re-think that.

No disingenuity here: I’m sure Bob felt this way about all those Windows apps in the ’90s. I’m sure he’s not just grasping for a reason to suggest that Apple hasn’t already won.

 

Update 2015.12.05 — O’Donnell (Techpinions) doesn’t know when to give it a rest. Here he is, talking about Samsung recently replacing its mobile-products CEO because of slacking Samsung smartphone sales:

The reality is, the smartphone market is pretty mature from a hardware development perspective, and it’s gonna be hard for everybody. And Samsung hit this wall first, ’cause they were the first to do big-screen phones, and that was the big innovation people wanted. Since then, it’s been very difficult for them, just as it’s starting to be for other folks.

Samsung’s problems selling smartphones are a bad omen for Apple? Rigghht, Bob.

 

Update 2016.06.21 — Following Google’s Pichai’s “hardware will fade away” letter, and Exponent’s Allworth & Thompson’s enthusiastic endorsement of the idea (episode #83), what self-respecting Apple disser wouldn’t hop onto the “AI-first, not device-first world” bandwagon, which he dubs the “post-device era” (get it? revenge for Jobs’s post-PC world!):

“Be Prepared: We’re Entering A Post-Device Era”

“While it’s too early to be certain — it’ll probably take 12-18 months before we know for sure — I believe worldwide smartphone shipments probably peaked in the fourth quarter of 2015.”

“[T]he ability to have information delivered — and actions taken — by simply speaking does suggest an exciting new era that’s less dependent on traditional devices. The implications of this shift are profound. For a company like Apple, being the premier device maker in the post-device era is a sort of dystopian nightmare, where the company’s impressive abilities to generate better and better devices will be appreciated by a decreasing number of customers.”

Hmmm. This wouldn’t be just a new skin on the many-years-wrong “Apple will get commoditized” story. Would it?

 

Update 2017.02.10Techpinions again: Ben Bajarin and Bob O’Donnell, while talking mostly about Android Wear, touch on the subject of Apple Watch:

BB: Apple’s pretty clear; they’ve said, look, we’re positioning this within the watch category, which makes a lot of sense. Again, if you understand Apple Watch within the watch category, then we don’t get quite as worked-up over quarterly sales figures; we look more at the cyclical cycle, which is really— there’s only a couple quarters that anybody cares about for watches, if you’re in the watch industry.

BO: I agree with you, but the only thing I’ll jump in is, if Apple’s gonna do that, I’m sorry, they’ve gotta go circular. Has to be done. And I just don’t know if they’re willing to do that.

Now, the context of O’Donnell’s statement here is a little fuzzy. And I certainly don’t pretend to know that Apple will never do a circular watch. But — they’ve gotta go circular? Has to be done? No. Apple Watch is far and away the most successful thing in smartwatches, ever, and is already the #2 watch brand, behind only Rolex. There are a lot of different directions Apple could go with this, and a circular watch is indeed one of them — but they most definitely don’t have to. That’s absurd.

 

Update 2017.05.12 — After the complete market collapse and de facto discontinuation of Windows Phone, O’Donnell has this to say about it:

Microsoft is in the best position of all the three big players, that being Google, Apple, and Microsoft, to do this [sell cross-platform software] because they have no real agenda with smartphones and — they have some degree with tablets, but the tablet market, again, continues to be smaller — so in a weird way, their failure in smartphones has opened them up to be more inclusive of the other platform devices. Whereas both Apple and Google still are much more focused on their own ecosystem, which I think is gonna hurt them potentially in the long run, and is something they need to really think about, especially in light of Microsoft really, kind-of taking this more embracing attitude.

Well, that’s one way to look at it.

 

Update 2018.01.12 — Ben Bajarin joins O’Donnell on the latest ep­i­sode, “CES 2018”:

BB: My overall point for this [article I recently wrote] was just really trying to make a[n] ecosystem observation, was just to say that what you are seeing, right now, is the strength, and growing in breadth and depth, of the Amazon Alexa ecosystem. And we’ll see if, this time next year, we see equal integration with Google. And obviously we’ll see where [Apple] HomeKit aligns with those as well. That’s where I just think— again, we can’t have our heads in the sand about this. I think there’re some bigger industry themes going on. I think the home is a very, very different dynamic, particularly for Apple, than anything they’ve had to deal with, strategically. And again, the evidence is on the wall about where you see ecosystem momentum. And consumers understand that. They see that. When they’re shopping at Home Depot for a fan, or for a refrigerator, or for a washer, or whatever, and it says Alexa on there, and it doesn’t say anything else? That just, to them, says, well, that’s the one I should be getting, because that’s the one that seems to be everywhere.

BO: Yeah. No, it’s a fair point.

It sure sounds like a fair point, doesn’t it? The problem is, we heard the same fair point seven years ago when legions of Android licensees were going to swamp iPhone and iPad out of the market. And we heard it thirteen years ago when a sea of PlaysForSure was surely going to drown iPod. In fact, we’ve been hearing this same song-and-dance throughout Ap­ple’s twenty-year ascendency from near-nothing to most successful company in history.

Maybe, instead of resurrecting it yet again, Bajarin should have written an article about why that argument has been so consistently, massively wrong over the years.

 

Update 2018.12.21 — O’Donnell (Techpinions):

The FAANG stocks were riding high for a very long time. And this year, they are all now in what’s considered bear territory, a correction— a decline of more than 20%. Apple’s down almost a third. And things right now at a number of these companies are somewhat challenged. Whereas you have Microsoft now on top of the world, amazingly enough, as resilient as they have been, they are the largest capitalized company in the world. They surpassed Apple a couple weeks ago, and look to be on top for some time.

Microsoft’s achieved a similar cap, at a P/E over 45, that Apple has achieved with P/E under 15. Yup, that is correct.

When we talk about Apple, they’ve been talking about this transition to the services businesses for years. And they’re gonna continue to do that. But I think the market is having a harder time with it: there’s not a lot of great examples of tech companies who’ve gone to services and succeeded.

If other companies can’t do something, how can Apple? And Apple’s going to services. Got it, Bob.

The smartphone market growth is over, right? I don’t care— we may see a blip in ’19, but even in ’19 what we’re gonna see is 5G and foldable, and Apple has none of that, so they’re not gonna benefit from it.

Poor Apple. Stuck with nothing but the majority of all smartphone revenues and virtually all smartphone profits in the entire industry. What, oh what, will they ever do?

Five-month update: After settling with Qualcomm, Apple is definitely getting access to Qualcomm’s 5G baseband chips. And the Samsung Fold is now cancelled.

 

Update 2019.02.01 — O’Donnell and Carolina Milanesi wax with enthusiasm for Microsoft’s Surface tablet, and how great it would be for your business if you bought a bunch of them for your employees. During this love-fest, O’Donnell can’t skip the chance to apprise us of the following statistic:

BO: Even from a numbers perspective, correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe I saw that they [Microsoft] hit #5—

CM: Yep.

BO: —in the U.S. PC market.

CM: Yep.

This apparently is a reference to Gartner’s pronouncement, a few months ago, that the top five U.S. PC vendors, by units sold, are HP, Dell, Lenovo, Apple, and Microsoft, in that order.

However, O’Donnell has no problem skipping the chance to tell us that when the guys at Gartner talk about PC sales, they mean only devices capable of running Microsoft Windows. Since all Macs today are at least theoretically capable of running Windows (though almost all of them don’t), Gartner counts the Mac as a PC. But no iPad, not even the very desktop-like iPad Pro, is counted at all. Meanwhile, all Microsoft Surface tablets are counted, since they do run Win­dows.

If iPad were counted as is Surface, Apple would be very comfortably in the #1 position, and not just today, but for many years running. Alternatively, if Surface was omitted as is iPad, Microsoft wouldn’t be anywhere near the top five.

 

Update 2019.04.26 — O’Donnell, on April 19th’s episode with Ben Bajarin, comments on the Apple-Qualcomm settlement, which was followed hours later by Intel announcing its departure from 5G modem production:

Ben, you wrote a couple different things on this, this week, and I was in total agreement with you. In terms of order, I have to think, Intel made the call [to Apple] and said, hey guys, we ain’t gonna do this. And then Apple essentially didn’t have much of a choice [but to settle with Qualcomm].

April 25th CNET article by Steven Musil, “Apple-Qualcomm settlement led to Intel’s exit from 5G phone modem market”:

“In light of the announcement of Apple and Qualcomm, we assessed the prospects for us to make money while delivering this technology for smartphones and concluded at the time that we just didn’t see a path,” [Intel CEO Bob] Swan told [The Wall Street Journal].

 

Update 2019.08.02 — Apple TV’s “TV” app pulls multiple content providers together in a single, searchable interface. But Netflix is a notable exception — they refuse to cooperate with that app.

In their July 19 installment, Milanesi praises the Apple TV app as a welcome and useful addition to Apple’s product, to which O’Donnell replies with this:

I agree with you. But the question is, remember that Netflix chose not to let Apple do that. And now that Apple is getting into the content business, it would not shock me if the other people said, you know what? No, we’re not gonna do that. Because otherwise it does give Apple an advantage that the other, you know, uh, content players might say, naahh, we’re not really gonna let you do that.

Does “technalysis” mean “arbitrary fantasies that Apple will get shafted and/or told what to do by the rest of the industry?” Sure seems like it might. Very next episode (Aug 2), Bob says:

Apple earnings ... the big news was that the iPhone as a percentage of sales was less than 50% for the first time, essentially, since the real popular era of the iPhone. And that’s being seen as a demarcation point. It raises a lot of interesting questions. On the one hand, the wearable business was very strong, the services businesses grew, but the iPhone business did shrink. And of course there’s this notion that, well, iPhone is what drives wearables and services, so if iPhone slips, then those are gonna slip. So — we can go back and forth. But the one thing that I’ll throw out there is: all of this is presuming, of course, that Apple doesn’t just open up to Android. Because as soon as Apple opens, for example, say the Apple Watch, to eventually work with Android, which is not out of the realm of possibility, nor— they’ve already brought Apple Music to Android; if they bring their other services to Android, all of a sudden, honestly — yes, the iPhone matters, but not that much. So I’ll be curious to see what they do. Obviously I think Apple has said, we’re gonna keep some things on iOS, perhaps, and macOS for now. But I think the possibility is there, and that changes the dynamic dramatically, if they do that.

 

Update 2020.11.11 — Two years ago, Apple’s mobile processors were reported to be “within striking distance of ‘the best desktop CPUs,’” and they’ve only gotten faster after that. Rumors that Apple would dump Intel, and instead use its own processors in the Mac, have been sizzling hot ever since.

So last April, O’Donnell’s guest Ben Bajarin put his very best pro-Intel spin on the situation:

I still struggle to see a wholesale shift away from Intel, across the board. ... I’ve really wrestled with: What do they get out of this, right? And I think, while performance is always there, I have a hard time believing that it would outperform Intel by some significant margin with anywhere but battery life.

The M1 chip has been announced, and now we know: it outperforms Intel substantially in both battery life and speed.

 

Update 2021.04.26 — O’Donnell, two years ago today (Techpinions):

In a very interesting way, it [the Galaxy Fold] does change how you think about using a phone. And it does change the experience. And like I said, a couple years from now, we’re all gonna look back and go, oh well, that was interesting, but now, everybody’s gonna have ’em.

Today: Hardly anybody has ’em.

 

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Health — All Or Nothing?

Vivek Wadhwa, Scamster Bitcoin Doomsayer

Backwards Eye Wiring — the Optical Focus Hypothesis

Apple’s Cash Is Not the Key

Nothing More Angry Than A Cornered Anti-Apple

Let ’Em Glow

The Ultimate, Simple, Fair Tax

Compassion and Vision

When Starting A Game of Chicken With Apple, Expect To Lose

The Caveat

Superb Owl

NavStar

Basic Reproduction Number

iBook Price-Fixing Lawsuit Redux — Apple Won

Delusion Made By Google

Religion Is A Wall

It’s Not A Criticism, It’s A Fact

Michigan Wolverines 2014 Football Season In Review

Sprinkler Shopping

Why There’s No MagSafe On the New MacBook

Sundar Pichai Says Devices Will Fade Away

The Question Every Apple Naysayer Must Answer

Apple’s Move To TSMC Is Fine For Apple, Bad For Samsung

Method of Implementing A Secure Backdoor In Mobile Devices

How I Clip My Cat’s Nails

Die Trying

Merger Hindsight

Human Life Decades

Fire and the Wheel — Not Good Examples of A Broken Patent System

Nobody Wants Public Transportation

Seasons By Temperature, Not Solstice

Ode To Coffee

Starting Over

FaceBook Messenger — Why I Don’t Use It

Happy Birthday, Anton Leeuwenhoek

Standard Deviation Defined

Not Hypocrisy

Simple Guide To Progress Bar Correctness

A Secure Backdoor Is Feasible

Don’t Blink

Predictive Value

Answering the Toughest Question About Disruption Theory

SSD TRIM Command In A Nutshell

The Enderle Grope

Aha! A New Way To Screw Apple

Champagne, By Any Other Maker

iOS Jailbreaking — A Perhaps-Biased Assessment

Embittered Anti-Apple Belligerents

Before 2001, After 2001

What A Difference Six Years Doesn’t Make

Stupefying New Year’s Stupidity

The Innovator’s Victory

The Cult of Free

Fitness — The Ultimate Transparency

Millions of Strange Devotees and Fanatics

Remember the iPod Killers?

Theory As Simulation

Four Analysts

What Was Christensen Thinking?

The Grass Is Always Greener — Viewing Angle

Is Using Your Own Patent Still Allowed?

The Upside-Down Tech Future

Motive of the Anti-Apple Pundit

Cheating Like A Human

Disremembering Microsoft

Security-Through-Obscurity Redux — The Best of Both Worlds

iPhone 2013 Score Card

Dominant and Recessive Traits, Demystified

Yes, You Do Have To Be the Best

The United States of Texas

Vertical Disintegration

He’s No Jobs — Fire Him

A Players

McEnroe, Not Borg, Had Class

Conflict Fades Away

Four-Color Theorem Analysis — Rules To Limit the Problem

The Unusual Monopolist

Reasonable Projection

Five Times What They Paid For It

Bypassable Security Certificates Are Useless

I’d Give My Right Arm To Go To Mars

Free Advice About Apple’s iOS App Store Guidelines

Inciting Violence

One Platform

Understanding IDC’s Tablet Market Share Graph

I Vote Socialist Because...

That Person

Product Naming — Google Is the Other Microsoft

Antecessor Hypotheticum

Apple Paves the Way For Apple

Why — A Poem

App Anger — the Supersized-Mastodon-In-the-Room That Marco Arment Doesn’t See

Apple’s Graphic Failure

Why Microsoft Copies Apple (and Google)

Coders Code, Bosses Boss

Droidfood For Thought

Investment Is Not A Sure Thing

Exercise is Two Thirds of Everything

Dan “Real Enderle” Lyons

Fairness

Ignoring the iPod touch

Manual Intervention Should Never Make A Computer Faster

Predictions ’13

Paperless

Zeroth — Why the Century Number Is One More Than the Year Number

Longer Than It Seems

Partners: Believe In Apple

Gun Control: Best Arguments

John C. Dvorak — Translation To English

Destructive Youth

Wiens’s Whine

Free Will — The Grand Equivocation

What Windows-vs.-Mac Actually Proved

A Tale of Two Logos

Microsoft’s Three Paths

Amazon Won’t Be A Big Winner In the DOJ’s Price-Fixing Suit

Infinite Sets, Infinite Authority

Strategy Analytics and Long Term Accountability

The Third Stage of Computing

Why 1 Isn’t Prime, 2 Is Prime, and 2 Is the Only Even Prime

Readability BS

Lie Detection and Psychos

Liking

Steps

Microsoft’s Dim Prospects

Humanity — Just Barely

Hanke-Henry Calendar Won’t Be Adopted

Collatz Conjecture Analysis (But No Proof; Sorry)

Rock-Solid iOS App Stability

Microsoft’s Uncreative Character

Microsoft’s Alternate Reality Bubble

Microsoft’s Three Ruts

Society’s Fascination With Mass Murder

PlaysForSure and Wikipedia — Revisionism At Its Finest

Procrastination

Patent Reform?

How Many Licks

Microsoft’s Incredible Run

Voting Socialist

Darwin Saves

The Size of Things In the Universe

The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy That Wasn’t

Fun

Nobody Was In Love With Windows

Apples To Apples — How Anti-Apple Pundits Shoot Themselves In the Foot

No Holds Barred

Betting Against Humanity

Apple’s Premium Features Are Free

Why So Many Computer Guys Hate Apple

3D TV With No Glasses and No Parallax/Focus Issues

Waves With Particle-Like Properties

Gridlock Is Just Fine

Sex Is A Fantasy

Major Player

Why the iPad Wannabes Will Definitely Flop

Predators and Parasites

Prison Is For Lotto Losers

The False Dichotomy

Wait and See — Windows-vs-Mac Will Repeat Itself

Dishonesty For the Greater Good

Barr Part 2

Enough Information

Zune Is For Apple Haters

Good Open, Bad Open

Beach Bodies — Who’s Really Shallow?

Upgrade? Maybe Not

Eliminating the Impossible

Selfish Desires

Farewell, Pirate Cachet

The Two Risk-Takers

Number of Companies — the Idiocy That Never Dies

Holding On To the Solution

Apple Religion

Long-Term Planning

What You Have To Give Up

The End of Elitism

Good and Evil

Life

How Religion Distorts Science

Laziness and Creativity

Sideloading and the Supersized-Mastodon-In-the-Room That Snell Doesn’t See

Long-Term Self-Delusion

App Store Success Won’t Translate To Books, Movies, and Shows

Silly iPad Spoilsports

I Disagree

Five Rational Counterarguments

Majority Report

Simply Unjust

Zooman Science

Reaganomics — Like A Diet — Works

Free R&D?

Apple’s On the Right Track

Mountains of Evidence

What We Do

Hope Conquers All

Humans Are Special — Just Not That Special

Life = Survival of the Fittest

Excuse Me, We’re Going To Build On Your Property

No Trademark iWorries

Knowing

Twisted Excuses

The Fall of Google

Real Painters

The Meaning of Kicking Ass

How To Really Stop Casual Movie Disc Ripping

The Solitary Path of the High-Talent Programmer

Fixing, Not Preaching

Why Blackmail Is Still Illegal

Designers Cannot Do Anything Imaginable

Wise Dr. Drew

Rats In A Too-Small Cage

Coming To Reason

Everything Isn’t Moving To the Web

Pragmatics, Not Rights

Grey Zone

Methodologically Dogmatic

The Purpose of Language

The Punishment Defines the Crime

Two Many Cooks

Pragmatism

One Last Splurge

Making Money

What Heaven and Hell Are Really About

America — The Last Suburb

Hoarding

What the Cloud Isn’t For

Diminishing Returns

What You’re Seeing

What My Life Needs To Be

Taking An Early Retirement

Office Buildings

A, B, C, D, Pointless Relativity

Stephen Meyer and Michael Medved — Where Is ID Going?

If You Didn’t Vote — Complain Away

iPhone Party-Poopers Redux

What Free Will Is Really About

Spectacularly Well

Pointless Wrappers

PTED — The P Is Silent

Out of Sync

Stupid Stickers

Security Through Normalcy

The Case For Corporate Bonuses

Movie Copyrights Are Forever

Permitted By Whom?

Quantum Cognition and Other Hogwash

The Problem With Message Theory

Bell’s Boring Inequality and the Insanity of the Gaps

Paying the Rent At the 6 Park Avenue Apartments

Primary + Reviewer — An Alternative IT Plan For Corporations

Yes Yes Yes

Feelings

Hey Hey Whine Whine

Microsoft About Microsoft Visual Microsoft Studio Microsoft

Hidden Purple Tiger

Forest Fair Mall and the Second Lamborghini

Intelligent Design — The Straight Dope

Maxwell’s Demon — Three Real-World Examples

Zealots

Entitlement BS

Agenderle

Mutations

Einstein’s Error — The Confusion of Laws With Their Effects

The Museum Is the Art

Polly Sooth the Air Rage

The Truth

The Darkness

Morality = STDs?

Fulfilling the Moral Duty To Disdain

MustWinForSure

Choice

Real Design

The Two Rules of Great Programming

Cynicism

The End of the Nerds

Poverty — Humanity’s Damage Control

Berners-Lee’s Rating System = Google

The Secret Anti-MP3 Trick In “Independent Women” and “You Sang To Me”

ID and the Large Hadron Collider Scare

Not A Bluff

The Fall of Microsoft

Life Sucks When You’re Not Winning

Aware

The Old-Fashioned Way

The Old People Who Pop Into Existence

Theodicy — A Big Stack of Papers

The Designed, Cause-and-Effect Brain

Mosaics

IC Counterarguments

The Capitalist’s Imaginary Line

Education Isn’t Everything

I Don’t Know

Funny iPhone Party-Poopers

Avoiding Conflict At All Costs

Behavior and Free Will, Unconfused

“Reduced To” Absurdum

Suzie and Bubba Redneck — the Carriers of Intelligence

Everything You Need To Know About Haldane’s Dilemma

Darwin + Hitler = Baloney

Meta-ware

Designed For Combat

Speed Racer R Us

Bold — Uh-huh

Conscious of Consciousness

Future Perfect

Where Real and Yahoo Went Wrong

The Purpose of Surface

Eradicating Religion Won’t Eradicate War

Documentation Overkill

A Tale of Two Movies

The Changing Face of Sam Adams

Dinesh D’Souza On ID

Why Quintic (and Higher) Polynomials Have No Algebraic Solution

Translation of Paul Graham’s Footnote To Plain English

What Happened To Moore’s Law?

Goldston On ID

The End of Martial Law

The Two Faces of Evolution

A Fine Recommendation

Free Will and Population Statistics

Dennett/D’Souza Debate — D’Souza

Dennett/D’Souza Debate — Dennett

The Non-Euclidean Geometry That Wasn’t There

Defective Attitude Towards Suburbia

The Twin Deficit Phantoms

Sleep Sync and Vertical Hold

More FUD In Your Eye

The Myth of Rubbernecking

Keeping Intelligent Design Honest

Failure of the Amiga — Not Just Mismanagement

Maxwell’s Silver Hammer = Be My Honey Do?

End Unsecured Debt

The Digits of Pi Cannot Be Sequentially Generated By A Computer Program

Faster Is Better

Goals Can’t Be Avoided

Propped-Up Products

Ignoring ID Won’t Work

The Crabs and the Bucket

Communism As A Side Effect of the Transition To Capitalism

Google and Wikipedia, Revisited

National Geographic’s Obesity BS

Cavemen

Theodicy Is For Losers

Seattle Redux

Quitting

Living Well

A Memory of Gateway

Is Apple’s Font Rendering Really Non-Pixel-Aware?

Humans Are Complexity, Not Choice

A Subtle Shift

Moralism — The Emperor’s New Success

Code Is Our Friend

The Edge of Religion

The Dark Side of Pixel-Aware Font Rendering

The Futility of DVD Encryption

ID Isn’t About Size or Speed

Blood-Curdling Screams

ID Venn Diagram

Rich and Good-Looking? Why Libertarianism Goes Nowhere

FUV — Fear, Uncertainty, and Vista

Malware Isn’t About Total Control

Howard = Second Coming?

Doomsday? Or Just Another Sunday

The Real Function of Wikipedia In A Google World

Objective-C Philosophy

Clarity From Cisco

2007 Macworld Keynote Prediction

FUZ — Fear, Uncertainty, and Zune

No Fear — The Most Important Thing About Intelligent Design

How About A Rational Theodicy

Napster and the Subscription Model

Intelligent Design — Introduction

The One Feature I Want To See In Apple’s Safari.